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Transportation Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate the transportation operations within an organization or the activities of organizations that provide transportation services.

U.S. Workers

213,000

Median Salary

$102,010

10-Year Growth

+6.1%

Annual Openings

18,500

Typical entry: High school diploma or equivalent

Minimal RiskImminent Risk61%MEDIUM

28 of 28 tasks have some AI capability

Exposure Trend

Mar60.58%Apr60.58%May60.58%Jun60.58%

This score reflects estimated AI technical capability for tasks in this occupation. It does not predict employment changes, and it does not account for company-specific constraints, regulation, or adoption barriers.

Fully Automatable (6)

AI could handle these end-to-end

Monitor spending to ensure that expenses are consistent with approved budgets.

AI: Fully automatable - AI systems can ingest expense feeds, compare them to budgets in real time, and automatically flag or block out-of-budget spending, enabling full automation of the monitoring function.

imp: 4.0

Prepare management recommendations, such as proposed fee and tariff increases or schedule changes.

AI: Fully automatable - AI can analyze demand, cost, and regulatory inputs to generate evidence-based recommendations for fees, tariffs, or schedules, effectively automating preparation of management recommendations.

imp: 3.8

Analyze expenditures and other financial information to develop plans, policies, or budgets for increasing profits or improving services.

AI: Fully automatable - AI can analyze expenditures, run scenarios, and propose budgets or policies to improve profitability and service, automating much of the analytical work.

imp: 3.7

Develop criteria, application instructions, procedural manuals, or contracts for federal or state public transportation programs.

AI: Fully automatable - AI can reliably develop criteria, application instructions, procedural manuals, and contract drafts compliant with program rules, requiring only human review for sign-off.

imp: 3.5

Evaluate transportation vehicles or auxiliary equipment for purchase by considering factors such as fuel economy or aerodynamics.

AI: Fully automatable - Given vehicle specifications, telematics, and simulation models, AI can fully evaluate fuel-economy and aerodynamic trade-offs and produce ranked procurement recommendations.

imp: 3.2

Identify or select transportation and communications system technologies to reduce costs or environmental impacts.

AI: Fully automatable - AI can analyze cost, lifecycle emissions, and performance data, run optimization scenarios, and identify or select technology options to reduce costs or environmental impacts end-to-end.

imp: 3.1

Human in the Loop (22)

AI could assist, human oversight required

Plan, organize, or manage the work of subordinate staff to ensure that the work is accomplished in a manner consistent with organizational requirements.

AI: Partial - AI can assist with scheduling, monitoring, and optimizing subordinate work, but true management of staff performance, motivation, and complex organizational decisions cannot be fully automated.

imp: 4.3

Direct activities related to dispatching, routing, or tracking transportation vehicles, such as aircraft or railroad cars.

AI: Partial - AI can optimize dispatching, routing, and tracking and automate many operational decisions, but directing safety-critical transportation activities (especially aircraft/rail) still requires human oversight and regulatory compliance.

imp: 4.3

Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations.

AI: Partial - AI can monitor sensor and operational data to detect likely noncompliance and alert humans, but cannot fully handle nuanced enforcement, labor relations, or judgment calls.

imp: 4.0

Serve as contact persons for all workers within assigned territories.

AI: Partial - AI can act as an initial contact via chatbots and routing but cannot fully replace a human contact person for complex, relationship-based issues.

imp: 4.0

Implement schedule or policy changes for transportation services.

AI: Partial - AI and RPA can compute and push schedule or policy updates into systems, but implementing changes often requires stakeholder coordination and authorization, so it is only partially automatable.

imp: 4.0

Promote safe work activities by conducting safety audits, attending company safety meetings, or meeting with individual staff members.

AI: Partial - AI can analyze safety data, generate audit checklists, and recommend interventions but cannot fully perform in-person audits, lead meetings, or provide the human engagement required to promote safety.

imp: 3.8

Direct investigations to verify and resolve customer or shipper complaints.

AI: Partial - AI can triage complaints, gather evidence, and suggest investigation steps but directing and resolving complex disputes typically requires human investigation and decision-making.

imp: 3.8

Conduct investigations in cooperation with government agencies to determine causes of transportation accidents, coordinate cleanup activities, or improve safety procedures.

AI: Partial - AI can assist accident reconstruction, data analysis, and report drafting, but cannot fully conduct field investigations, legally coordinate cleanup, or manage interagency operations alone.

imp: 3.8

Direct or coordinate the activities of operations department to obtain use of equipment, facilities, or human resources.

AI: Partial - AI can optimize allocation of equipment and personnel and trigger coordination workflows, but directing operational staff and handling exceptions still needs human leadership.

imp: 3.8

Collaborate with other managers or staff members to formulate and implement policies, procedures, goals, or objectives.

AI: Partial - AI can facilitate collaboration by drafting policies, summarizing inputs, and running simulations, but co‑formulating and implementing goals requires human negotiation and accountability.

imp: 3.7

Plan or implement energy saving changes to transportation services, such as reducing routes, optimizing capacities, employing alternate modes of transportation, or minimizing idling.

AI: Partial - AI in 2025 can plan and optimize routes, capacities, and idling reduction recommendations but typically cannot autonomously implement organizational changes or manage stakeholder approvals.

imp: 3.7

Direct staff performing repairs and maintenance to equipment, vehicles, or facilities.

AI: Partial - AI can generate maintenance schedules, diagnostics, and instructions, but it cannot physically supervise or assume full managerial responsibility for on-site repair staff.

imp: 3.6

Set operations policies and standards, including determining safety procedures for the handling of dangerous goods.

AI: Partial - AI can draft and propose operations policies and safety procedures based on regulations and data, but final policy setting and legal responsibility require human decision-makers.

imp: 3.6

Develop or implement plans to improve transportation services control from regional to national or global load control center operations.

AI: Partial - AI can design plans and optimization strategies for control center operations, but large-scale implementation across regions or nations requires human coordination and governance.

imp: 3.4

Direct central load control centers to maximize efficiency and effectiveness of transportation services.

AI: Partial - AI can automate and optimize many real‑time control decisions in load centers, yet cannot fully replace human leadership responsibilities or complex stakeholder management in directing centers.

imp: 3.4

Supervise clerks assigning tariff classifications or preparing billing.

AI: Partial - AI can largely automate tariff classification and billing workflows, but supervising clerks involves personnel management and accountability that AI cannot fully assume.

imp: 3.4

Negotiate, authorize, or monitor fulfillment of contracts with equipment or materials suppliers.

AI: Partial - AI can draft, analyze, and monitor contract terms and performance and suggest negotiation tactics, but cannot fully assume the legal authority, complex stakeholder negotiation, or final authorization decisions.

imp: 3.4

Conduct employee training sessions on subjects such as hazardous material handling, employee orientation, quality improvement, or computer use.

AI: Partial - AI systems can deliver and personalize much training content (including simulations), but cannot fully replace hands‑on, certified instruction and in-person assessment for hazardous-material or practical training components.

imp: 3.3

Recommend or authorize capital expenditures for acquisition of new equipment or property to increase efficiency and services of operations department.

AI: Partial - AI can analyze costs and produce strong investment recommendations, but authorization and final capital expenditure decisions rest with human leadership and fiduciary oversight.

imp: 3.3

Provide administrative or technical assistance to those receiving transportation-related grants.

AI: Partial - AI can automate administrative tasks, generate guidance, and provide technical support for grant recipients, but cannot fully replace human judgment in complex compliance or discretionary grant decisions.

imp: 3.1

Direct procurement processes including equipment research and testing, vendor contracts, or requisitions approval.

AI: Partial - AI can perform equipment research, testing analysis, and draft vendor contracts or requisitions, but directing procurement and approving final contracts typically requires human authority and oversight.

imp: 3.0

Participate in union contract negotiations or grievance settlements.

AI: Partial - AI can analyze bargaining positions, model outcomes, and suggest language, but participating directly in union negotiations or settlements entails legal, relational, and political judgments that require humans.

imp: 2.7

Skills for this role (35)

SpeakingEssentialReading ComprehensionEssentialMonitoringCoreCritical ThinkingCoreActive ListeningCoreCoordinationCoreWritingCoreJudgment and Decision MakingCoreComplex Problem SolvingCoreTime ManagementCore
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